Brescia vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
29.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
PAD
0 - 1
BRE
48%
30%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
ANC
1 - 1
BRE
54%
28%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
BRE
0 - 0
REG
45%
31%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1991 |
ASC
4 - 1
BRE
68%
22%
10%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1991 |
BRE
0 - 0
USF
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
MES
0 - 0
USC
43%
30%
27%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
AVE
2 - 0
MES
39%
30%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
MES
0 - 2
USF
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1991 |
REG
1 - 0
MES
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1991 |
MES
0 - 0
MOD
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |