Brescia vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1986 |
LAZ
4 - 2
BRE
53%
29%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
BRE
1 - 1
CAM
57%
27%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1986 |
CAG
2 - 0
BRE
43%
34%
23%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1986 |
BRE
2 - 1
TRI
51%
29%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
CES
2 - 2
BRE
56%
28%
16%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1986 |
MES
0 - 2
TOR
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
FCC
0 - 0
MES
47%
23%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
MES
1 - 1
ASC
40%
24%
36%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
MES
1 - 0
BAR
52%
23%
26%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
CAM
1 - 1
MES
47%
23%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |