Brescia vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
PAL
0 - 0
BRE
51%
30%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
PIS
1 - 0
BRE
46%
31%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
BRE
0 - 0
SPA
67%
22%
11%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
ATL
0 - 1
BRE
53%
29%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
BRE
2 - 0
SSS
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
MAT
0 - 0
LEC
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
SSS
1 - 0
MAT
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
MAT
1 - 1
SAM
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
SPA
3 - 1
MAT
75%
16%
10%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
PAR
1 - 1
MAT
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |