Brescia vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
CES
1 - 2
BRE
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
BRE
1 - 1
PRG
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
CHI
2 - 0
BRE
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
BRE
4 - 1
COS
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
REG
3 - 2
BRE
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
ASL
5 - 1
USF
39%
26%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
REG
2 - 0
ASL
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
ASL
1 - 1
VER
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
BOL
2 - 0
ASL
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
ASL
1 - 1
FIA
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |