Brescia vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
BRE
1 - 1
PAL
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
BAR
2 - 0
BRE
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
BRE
0 - 2
ASL
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
CES
1 - 2
BRE
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
BRE
1 - 1
PRG
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
ASL
0 - 0
CHI
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
GEN
1 - 1
ASL
68%
20%
13%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
ASL
1 - 2
VIC
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
BRE
0 - 2
ASL
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
ASL
5 - 1
USF
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |