Brescia vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 1
REG
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
PAD
0 - 2
BRE
78%
14%
8%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
PRO
1 - 0
BRE
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
BRE
1 - 1
NAP
45%
26%
30%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
USA
1 - 0
BRE
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
BAR
3 - 0
ASL
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
ASL
3 - 0
PAR
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
MES
4 - 2
ASL
61%
24%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
ASL
0 - 1
NAP
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
ASS
3 - 1
ASL
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |