Brescia vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
12.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
ASS
0 - 2
BRE
46%
30%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
PRG
2 - 0
BRE
33%
34%
33%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
BRE
2 - 0
NOV
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
COM
0 - 0
BRE
41%
31%
28%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
BRE
0 - 0
ATL
58%
25%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
LIV
1 - 0
CAS
60%
25%
15%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
ARZ
2 - 1
LIV
36%
31%
33%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
LIV
0 - 0
PIS
49%
30%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
TAR
0 - 1
LIV
44%
31%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1970 |
LIV
0 - 4
ACM
21%
28%
51%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |