Brescia vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
21.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
USC
0 - 1
BRE
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
BRE
3 - 2
MOD
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
BOL
0 - 0
BRE
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
BRE
0 - 0
INT
39%
25%
37%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
GEN
1 - 0
BRE
68%
17%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
LIV
3 - 1
GEN
22%
21%
57%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
LAZ
3 - 1
LIV
75%
15%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
LIV
2 - 1
USA
49%
22%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
LEO
4 - 1
LIV
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
USC
1 - 2
LIV
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |