Brescia vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
SPA
0 - 1
BRE
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
BRE
0 - 3
ATL
15%
21%
64%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ROM
3 - 0
BRE
83%
12%
6%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
CIL
1 - 4
BRE
1%
5%
94%
|
70 | 7 | 63 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
BRE
0 - 4
TOR
22%
24%
54%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
LEC
2 - 2
GEN
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
SPA
5 - 1
LEC
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
FIO
0 - 1
LEC
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
LEC
2 - 2
CAG
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
LAZ
4 - 2
LEC
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |