Brescia vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
56.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1975 |
ASC
0 - 0
BRE
66%
21%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1975 |
BRE
2 - 0
AVE
55%
23%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
VAR
0 - 0
BRE
69%
19%
13%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1975 |
BRE
1 - 1
PAR
56%
28%
17%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
GEN
0 - 0
BRE
65%
23%
12%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
CHO
1 - 0
LAZ
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1975 |
LAZ
2 - 0
AVE
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1975 |
LAZ
1 - 0
VAR
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
ASC
0 - 0
LAZ
30%
26%
44%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
LAZ
1 - 0
ASC
70%
19%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |