Brescia vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
BRE
1 - 1
INT
36%
26%
37%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
TRI
0 - 1
BRE
55%
22%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
LIV
0 - 0
BRE
47%
23%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1933 |
BRE
1 - 2
BOL
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
JUV
5 - 1
BRE
82%
12%
7%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
LAZ
3 - 3
BOL
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
JUV
2 - 2
LAZ
81%
12%
7%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
LAZ
2 - 0
TRI
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 1
LAZ
37%
23%
40%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
LAZ
3 - 0
LIV
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |