Brescia vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
39%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2010 |
CAT
5 - 1
BRE
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 2
CAG
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
BOL
1 - 0
BRE
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 1
JUV
21%
26%
53%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
INT
1 - 1
BRE
82%
13%
5%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
GEN
3 - 1
VIC
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
GEN
0 - 2
JUV
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CAG
0 - 1
GEN
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
GEN
1 - 0
BOL
66%
20%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
PAL
1 - 0
GEN
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |