Brescia vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
18%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
20.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
BRE
0 - 0
LEC
45%
31%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1988 |
USC
1 - 0
BRE
52%
28%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
BRE
2 - 0
BAR
47%
32%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1988 |
SSS
2 - 2
BRE
42%
33%
26%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1988 |
TAR
2 - 1
BRE
47%
30%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
GEN
3 - 1
MES
51%
28%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1988 |
UDI
2 - 0
GEN
66%
22%
12%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
GEN
1 - 1
USC
47%
30%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1988 |
BAR
1 - 1
GEN
56%
27%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1988 |
BOL
3 - 0
GEN
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |