Brescia vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
29%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
SSS
3 - 2
BRE
45%
32%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
SAM
2 - 0
BRE
65%
22%
13%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
BRE
2 - 2
UDI
51%
28%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
RIM
1 - 0
BRE
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
BRE
1 - 0
TER
47%
29%
24%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
GEN
2 - 3
PAL
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
TAR
1 - 1
GEN
35%
33%
32%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
GEN
0 - 0
NOC
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
SAM
0 - 2
GEN
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
GEN
2 - 1
UDI
70%
20%
11%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |