Brescia vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 0
BRE
42%
32%
27%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
REG
0 - 1
BRE
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
BRE
2 - 1
TER
52%
28%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
BRE
1 - 2
MOD
65%
23%
12%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
NOV
0 - 0
BRE
53%
28%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1976 |
VER
1 - 0
GEN
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
GEN
1 - 1
NOV
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1976 |
GEN
1 - 1
VER
54%
22%
24%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
PES
0 - 2
GEN
46%
30%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1976 |
GEN
0 - 3
LAZ
45%
24%
31%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |