Brescia vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
18%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
16.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
USF
1 - 1
BRE
61%
25%
14%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
BRE
0 - 2
NOV
55%
27%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
COM
0 - 0
BRE
54%
28%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
BRE
1 - 1
ARZ
64%
23%
12%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
ATL
0 - 0
BRE
49%
31%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
GEN
0 - 1
FCC
62%
24%
14%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
REG
0 - 1
GEN
43%
31%
26%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
GEN
2 - 3
SSS
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
GEN
1 - 1
PRG
55%
27%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
PAR
2 - 1
GEN
51%
29%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |