Brescia vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
BRE
0 - 1
MOD
39%
26%
36%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
ATL
2 - 0
BRE
54%
23%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
BRE
0 - 2
VIC
52%
22%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
SAM
2 - 2
BRE
70%
16%
14%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
BRE
0 - 1
BOL
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
GEN
1 - 0
BAR
65%
19%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1947 |
TRI
0 - 0
GEN
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
GEN
5 - 0
FIO
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
NAP
2 - 1
GEN
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
GEN
2 - 3
TOR
32%
23%
45%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |