Brescia vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
49.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
JUV
3 - 1
BRE
82%
12%
7%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
BRE
1 - 0
SAM
54%
23%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
BRE
1 - 2
INT
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
VNZ
1 - 2
BRE
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
BRE
2 - 1
BOL
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
INT
9 - 1
GEN
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
GEN
0 - 3
AND
68%
16%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
GEN
1 - 0
ATL
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
TRI
2 - 1
GEN
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
JUV
4 - 1
GEN
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |