Brescia vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
USA
1 - 0
BRE
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
BRE
4 - 0
FIO
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1934 |
NAP
1 - 0
BRE
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
BRE
3 - 0
ACM
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1934 |
PAL
2 - 2
BRE
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
GEN
2 - 0
LIV
62%
18%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
BOL
3 - 0
GEN
69%
17%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1934 |
GEN
1 - 2
LAZ
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
GEN
1 - 0
USA
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1934 |
ACM
1 - 0
GEN
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |