Brescia vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1932 |
BRE
2 - 0
LEO
48%
22%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1932 |
TRI
1 - 1
BRE
46%
23%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
BRE
0 - 0
PRO
59%
21%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
ACM
2 - 2
BRE
71%
16%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
TOR
4 - 0
BRE
70%
16%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1932 |
GEN
1 - 2
ACM
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1932 |
TOR
3 - 1
GEN
55%
21%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
GEN
1 - 0
LAZ
64%
20%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
GEN
3 - 2
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
CAS
2 - 0
GEN
19%
20%
61%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |