Brescia vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1930 |
BRE
2 - 2
JUV
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
LAZ
0 - 0
BRE
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
TOR
5 - 0
BRE
64%
20%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
BRE
2 - 1
USA
61%
19%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
TRI
1 - 0
BRE
38%
22%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1930 |
BOL
0 - 1
GEN
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
GEN
3 - 1
ROM
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
PAD
0 - 0
GEN
23%
21%
57%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
GEN
2 - 1
TRI
79%
12%
9%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
USA
0 - 2
GEN
48%
23%
29%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |