Brescia vs Gallipoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
BRE
4 - 1
ABN
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CES
2 - 0
BRE
30%
27%
42%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
BRE
0 - 1
VIC
59%
25%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 1
BRE
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
BRE
3 - 1
SAS
50%
27%
24%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gallipoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GAL
0 - 3
LEC
25%
25%
49%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
TRI
1 - 0
GAL
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
GAL
0 - 0
EMP
30%
29%
42%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
PAD
0 - 0
GAL
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
GAL
1 - 0
ANC
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |