Brescia vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
TOR
4 - 0
BRE
84%
11%
6%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
BRE
0 - 1
LIV
39%
24%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
ROM
2 - 1
BRE
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
BRE
1 - 1
ACM
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
LAZ
6 - 3
BRE
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
FIO
4 - 1
VIC
68%
16%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1946 |
FIO
2 - 0
USA
81%
12%
8%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
VNZ
3 - 0
FIO
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
FIO
2 - 1
TRI
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
FIO
1 - 2
MOD
67%
18%
16%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |