Brescia vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
18%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 3
BRE
58%
26%
16%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1974 |
BRE
1 - 1
BAR
62%
26%
13%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
ASC
2 - 0
BRE
65%
23%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
BRE
1 - 1
COM
50%
29%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
CAT
1 - 2
BRE
43%
33%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
FCC
3 - 3
ARZ
51%
29%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1974 |
PAL
3 - 2
FCC
56%
28%
17%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 1
FCC
41%
33%
27%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
FCC
1 - 0
ASC
35%
30%
34%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
FCC
2 - 0
PAR
53%
30%
17%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |