Brescia vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1965 |
NAP
4 - 0
BRE
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
BRE
2 - 0
VER
62%
22%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
TRI
0 - 3
BRE
37%
31%
32%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
BRE
0 - 1
USA
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
SPA
2 - 1
BRE
52%
27%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1965 |
FCC
1 - 0
PAL
46%
29%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
FCC
1 - 1
MOD
41%
30%
29%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
VER
0 - 0
FCC
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
VNZ
0 - 0
FCC
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
FCC
0 - 0
POT
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |