Brescia vs Fanfulla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
USA
1 - 1
BRE
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
BRE
1 - 0
CAG
42%
25%
34%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
UNI
1 - 0
BRE
64%
20%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
BRE
3 - 2
TRE
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
MES
2 - 1
BRE
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
FAN
2 - 3
CAT
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
FAN
0 - 1
MES
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
MOD
3 - 1
FAN
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
FAN
3 - 0
SAL
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
GEN
1 - 0
FAN
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |