Serie B Playoffs Playoff Ascenso Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Brescia vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
EMP
1 - 1
BRE
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
PIS
0 - 1
BRE
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
BRE
4 - 2
SAS
51%
27%
23%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 1
BRE
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
BRE
0 - 0
CTT
59%
25%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
EMP
1 - 1
BRE
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
AVE
0 - 1
EMP
31%
29%
41%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
EMP
4 - 0
TRI
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 1
EMP
35%
30%
35%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
EMP
3 - 0
ASC
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |