UEFA Intertoto Cup Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Brescia vs Chmel Blšany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2001 |
CHM
1 - 2
BRE
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
TAT
1 - 1
BRE
30%
24%
46%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
BRE
2 - 1
TAT
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
BRE
3 - 1
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
ACM
1 - 1
BRE
72%
17%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chmel Blšany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
CHM
3 - 0
SPA
31%
25%
45%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2001 |
CHM
1 - 2
BRE
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
POB
0 - 1
CHM
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
CHM
0 - 0
POB
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2001 |
CHM
3 - 1
TEP
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |