Brescia vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
19.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
VAR
2 - 0
BRE
59%
26%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
BRE
1 - 1
ASS
48%
29%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
AVE
2 - 1
BRE
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
TAR
0 - 0
BRE
52%
29%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
BRE
1 - 0
MOD
59%
25%
16%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
CAT
0 - 1
TER
44%
31%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
MOD
4 - 2
CAT
53%
29%
18%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
CAT
0 - 0
ASS
37%
32%
31%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
AVE
1 - 0
CAT
56%
27%
17%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
CAT
1 - 1
ASC
38%
32%
29%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |