Brescia vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
15.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
BRI
0 - 0
BRE
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
TER
5 - 0
BRE
54%
28%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
BRE
3 - 2
ARZ
60%
25%
15%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
ATL
1 - 0
BRE
58%
27%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
BRE
0 - 0
PAR
70%
21%
9%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
CAT
1 - 0
ATL
39%
35%
27%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1973 |
AVE
1 - 0
CAT
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
ASC
2 - 1
CAT
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
CAT
1 - 1
BRI
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAT
60%
25%
15%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |