Brescia vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
VIC
3 - 0
BRE
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
BRE
2 - 1
ASS
65%
24%
12%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1972 |
BRE
1 - 0
TER
50%
28%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1972 |
COM
0 - 0
BRE
56%
27%
17%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1972 |
BRE
1 - 0
CES
59%
27%
14%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
CAT
0 - 1
REG
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
REG
0 - 2
CAT
38%
33%
29%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1972 |
CAT
0 - 0
USF
47%
30%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1972 |
CAT
1 - 0
TAR
54%
29%
17%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1972 |
BAR
2 - 2
CAT
58%
26%
17%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |