Brescia vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
BRE
2 - 1
MES
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
MOD
0 - 1
BRE
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
BRE
1 - 0
NOV
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
PAR
0 - 0
BRE
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
BRE
0 - 0
SSS
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
SSS
0 - 2
CAT
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
CAT
1 - 0
BAR
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
CAG
1 - 0
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
CAT
1 - 0
MES
62%
22%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
TAR
2 - 1
CAT
49%
26%
26%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |