Brescia vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
ACP
4 - 0
BRE
40%
25%
36%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
BRE
0 - 1
LIV
58%
21%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
UDI
1 - 0
BRE
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
BRE
3 - 2
USA
61%
20%
19%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
EMP
0 - 1
BRE
48%
24%
29%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
SPA
2 - 0
CAT
73%
15%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
CAT
2 - 1
VER
47%
23%
31%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
CAT
5 - 0
FAN
66%
18%
16%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
UNI
4 - 3
CAT
66%
18%
16%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
TAR
2 - 1
CAT
52%
22%
26%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |