Brescia vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
ROM
2 - 1
BRE
69%
18%
14%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
BRE
0 - 0
LAZ
42%
24%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
BRE
1 - 1
INT
36%
26%
37%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
TRI
0 - 1
BRE
55%
22%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
LIV
0 - 0
BRE
47%
23%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
CAS
0 - 1
INT
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
ACM
6 - 2
CAS
80%
12%
8%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1934 |
NAP
2 - 1
CAS
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
CAS
4 - 4
LIV
49%
23%
28%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
LEO
4 - 1
CAS
70%
16%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |