Brescia vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
BRE
1 - 2
VAR
54%
23%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
MAN
2 - 4
BRE
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
NAP
0 - 0
BRE
68%
19%
12%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
BRE
0 - 0
VIC
46%
29%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
BRE
1 - 0
ROM
40%
29%
32%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
PAD
1 - 0
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
VAR
0 - 0
PAD
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
VER
1 - 0
PAD
53%
29%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
PAD
0 - 0
MOD
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
REG
2 - 0
PAD
52%
29%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |