Brescia vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
TRI
1 - 0
BRE
57%
28%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
BRE
2 - 1
CES
48%
31%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
PAL
2 - 0
BRE
50%
30%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
BRE
2 - 0
ASS
52%
30%
18%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
ARZ
1 - 1
BRE
50%
30%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 0
ARZ
46%
31%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
BOL
0 - 1
CAG
57%
26%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
CAG
1 - 0
CAT
49%
31%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 1
FCC
44%
31%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAG
51%
29%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |