Brescia vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
PRO
2 - 1
BRE
54%
22%
24%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
PAD
3 - 1
BRE
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
BRE
1 - 1
VNZ
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
VIC
0 - 1
BRE
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
BRE
2 - 1
PAD
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAG
30%
24%
46%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
CAG
0 - 2
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
TRI
3 - 1
CAG
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
ACM
3 - 0
CAG
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
CAG
2 - 2
CAT
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |