Brescia vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
JUV
1 - 0
BRE
83%
11%
6%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
BRE
0 - 3
USA
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
VNZ
1 - 2
BRE
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
BRE
2 - 2
TRI
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
BRE
1 - 0
FIO
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
BOL
1 - 2
ACM
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
NAP
2 - 0
BOL
44%
27%
30%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
BAR
1 - 0
BOL
29%
25%
46%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
BOL
0 - 0
JUV
50%
23%
28%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 1
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |