Brescia vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
39.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
TOR
2 - 2
BRE
86%
9%
5%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
AND
1 - 1
BRE
76%
14%
10%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
BRE
1 - 1
TRI
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
BRE
1 - 0
MOD
46%
24%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
ATL
0 - 0
BRE
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
BOL
3 - 2
SAM
83%
11%
7%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
VIC
3 - 0
BOL
40%
25%
36%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
BOL
1 - 0
AND
75%
14%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
ATL
0 - 1
BOL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
BOL
2 - 2
MOD
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | +1 |