Brescia vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1935 |
TRI
3 - 0
BRE
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
BRE
4 - 0
LIV
51%
22%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1935 |
INT
5 - 1
BRE
79%
13%
8%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1934 |
BRE
1 - 0
LAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1934 |
TOR
4 - 2
BRE
64%
19%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1935 |
BOL
2 - 1
FIO
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
LEO
2 - 1
BOL
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1935 |
BOL
6 - 3
ACM
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1934 |
ROM
1 - 1
BOL
56%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1934 |
BOL
2 - 0
JUV
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |