Brescia vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
JUV
5 - 1
BRE
82%
12%
7%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1933 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAD
50%
22%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1933 |
GEN
3 - 1
BRE
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
BRE
2 - 1
USA
43%
24%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1933 |
FIO
2 - 0
BRE
60%
22%
19%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
BOL
2 - 0
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1933 |
BOL
0 - 1
INT
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1933 |
TOR
0 - 1
BOL
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
BOL
3 - 0
PAD
79%
12%
9%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1933 |
GEN
1 - 0
BOL
46%
24%
30%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |