Brescia vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
22.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1975 |
SPA
3 - 0
BRE
60%
25%
15%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
PES
1 - 1
BRE
63%
23%
14%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
BRE
1 - 1
USA
58%
27%
16%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
VER
2 - 2
BRE
70%
21%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
BRE
2 - 0
REG
55%
28%
17%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 0
NOV
55%
28%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
ATL
0 - 1
GEN
55%
29%
16%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
COM
1 - 0
ATL
55%
28%
17%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 0
FCC
52%
30%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ATL
45%
30%
25%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |