Brescia vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1959 |
ACP
1 - 1
BRE
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
BRE
0 - 0
COM
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
ACM
0 - 1
BRE
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
BRE
5 - 3
LEC
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
NOV
1 - 1
BRE
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1959 |
ATL
5 - 0
VIG
78%
15%
8%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
ATL
4 - 1
CAG
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
PAL
1 - 0
ATL
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
TAR
1 - 1
ATL
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
ATL
1 - 2
COM
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |