Brescia vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
FRO
2 - 1
BRE
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2006 |
LEC
2 - 1
BRE
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2006 |
BRE
1 - 2
ACM
16%
26%
58%
|
74 | 94 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
BRE
2 - 2
CRO
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
ARZ
0 - 2
BRE
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
SPE
2 - 1
CRO
29%
29%
42%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
TRI
2 - 1
SPE
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
SPE
0 - 1
MOD
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
GEN
1 - 2
SPE
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
SPE
1 - 0
VIC
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |