Brescia vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
FAN
2 - 1
BRE
52%
22%
27%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
BRE
1 - 0
SAL
62%
21%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
SPA
2 - 1
BRE
56%
21%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
BRE
2 - 1
CAT
68%
17%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
BRE
3 - 1
MES
68%
17%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
SPE
1 - 1
MOD
50%
23%
28%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
SPE
1 - 0
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
MES
4 - 1
SPE
56%
21%
24%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
SIR
3 - 1
SPE
64%
18%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
SPE
0 - 3
VIC
70%
17%
14%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |