Brescia vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
REG
0 - 1
BRE
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
VER
4 - 2
BRE
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BRE
3 - 1
GRO
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SAS
1 - 1
BRE
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 1
CES
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ASC
0 - 5
VER
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
ASC
0 - 1
PAD
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 0
ASC
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ASC
2 - 3
MOD
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LIV
3 - 0
ASC
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |