Brescia vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
24.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1987 |
VER
4 - 1
BRE
72%
19%
9%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
EMP
0 - 0
BRE
46%
30%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
BRE
1 - 0
ATL
47%
29%
24%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1987 |
BRE
0 - 3
NAP
27%
28%
45%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
TOR
2 - 2
BRE
72%
19%
9%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1987 |
ASC
1 - 0
INT
28%
30%
42%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
ROM
1 - 1
ASC
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
ASC
0 - 1
SAM
35%
30%
36%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
ASC
0 - 1
VER
37%
29%
35%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
FIO
2 - 1
ASC
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |