Brescia vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
21.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
NOV
0 - 0
BRE
45%
31%
24%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
PAL
2 - 2
BRE
51%
30%
19%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
BRE
3 - 0
RIM
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
PES
2 - 2
BRE
65%
23%
12%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
BRE
2 - 2
COM
35%
30%
36%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
ASC
0 - 0
ATL
49%
31%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
SPA
2 - 1
ASC
50%
29%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
ASC
1 - 0
SSS
57%
27%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
PAL
2 - 1
ASC
42%
32%
26%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
ASC
2 - 1
VIC
41%
31%
28%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |