Brescia vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
22.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2012 |
ABN
0 - 2
BRE
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 2
SAS
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ASC
3 - 1
BRE
38%
28%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
BRE
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
VER
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
NOC
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CTT
0 - 1
VAR
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 3
GRO
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MOD
2 - 2
VAR
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
PES
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |