Brescia vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1982 |
VER
1 - 1
BRE
66%
23%
12%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1982 |
BRE
2 - 3
USC
56%
27%
17%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1982 |
RIM
1 - 0
BRE
53%
28%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
BAR
1 - 0
BRE
59%
26%
15%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
BRE
0 - 0
PIS
49%
29%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1982 |
VAR
1 - 1
PIS
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1982 |
LAZ
3 - 2
VAR
51%
28%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1982 |
VAR
3 - 1
BAR
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
SPA
0 - 1
VAR
45%
29%
26%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1982 |
PRG
2 - 1
VAR
53%
29%
18%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |